![]() Also, many tropical countries lack the necessary funding to collect data via weather balloons, planes, drones and other costly devices. But there are far fewer stations in the tropics because so much of that territory is covered by oceans. The United States and other countries in the middle latitudes have hundreds of weather stations. For example, New York might have warm weather the day before a blizzard, but the Amazon rainforest is never quite so capricious.īy the same token, there’s less readily available data to put into these models. In general, tropical weather phenomena are subtler and less variable, so they “have intrinsically longer predictability,” Dr. This suggests that forecasters will one day be able to accurately predict tropical weather as much as three weeks ahead of time - and potentially even further in advance. But for the tropics, the model showed almost no dissipation, even after 20 days. As expected, the model’s ability to make accurate weather predictions dissipated after about two weeks for the polar and middle-latitude regions, which encompass most of the United States. Thinkaliker big weather series#Judt ran a series of simulations using a global weather model. And recent research published by Falko Judt, an atmospheric scientist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo., found that there’s even more unlocked potential in the tropics.ĭr. In recent years, research has shown that improving technology could make weather forecasts accurate 15 days ahead of time. Right now, forecasters can reliably predict the weather in most parts of the United States up to eight days in advance, according to the American Meteorological Society. What if you could get an accurate weather report as much as three weeks in advance? In some parts of the world, that could soon be possible. ![]()
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